Saturday, August 15, 2009

Mengenal ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO




Mengenal ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO

Quick Description 

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a purpose-built trend trading charting system that has been successfully used in nearly every tradeable market. It is unique in many ways, but its primary strength is its use of multiple data points to give the trader a deeper, more comprehensive view into price action. This deeper view, and the fact that Ichimoku is a very visual system, enables the trader to quickly discern and filter "at a glance" the low-probability trading setups from those of higher probability. 

History 

The charting system of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo was developed by a Japanese newspaper man named Goichi Hosoda. He began developing this system before World War II with the help of numerous students that he hired to run through the optimum formulas and scenarios - analogous to how we would use computer simulated backtesting today to test a trading system. The system itself was finally released to the public in 1968, after more than twenty years of testing, when Mr. Hosoda published his book which included the final version of the system. 

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo has been used extensively in Asian trading rooms since Hosoda published his book and has been used successfully to trade currencies, commodities, futures, and stocks. Even with such wild popularity in Asia, Ichimoku did not make its appearance in the West until the 1990s and then, due to the utter lack of information in English on how to use it, it was mostly relegated to the category of another "exotic" indicator by the general trading public. Only now, in the early 21st century, are western traders really beginning to understand the power of this charting system. 

Equilibrium At a Glance 

The name Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, which translates to "Equilibrium chart at a glance" aptly describes the system and how it is to be used, as described below: 

While Ichimoku utilizes five separate lines or components, they are not to be used individually, in isolation, when making trading decisions, but rather used together to form an integrated "whole" picture of price action that can be gleaned "at a glance". Thus, a simple look at an Ichimoku chart should provide the Ichimoku practitioner with a nearly immediate understanding of sentiment, momentum and strength of trend. 

Price action is constantly measured or gauged from the perspective of whether it is in relative equilibrium or disequilibrium. Hosoda strongly believed that the market was a direct reflection of human group dynamics or behavior. He felt that human behavior could be described in terms of a constant cyclical movement both away from and back towards equilibrium in their lives and interactions. Each of the five components that make up Ichimoku provide its own reflection of this equilibrium or balance. 

Ichimoku Components 

The Ichimoku chart is composed of five (5) separate indicator lines. These lines work together to form the complete "Ichimoku picture". A summary of how each line is calculated is outlined below: 

TENKAN SEN ("turning line")  

(HIGHEST HIGH + LOWEST LOW)/2 for the past 9 periods


KIJUN SEN ("standard line")
   
(HIGHEST HIGH + LOWEST LOW)/2 for the past 26 periods


CHIKOU SPAN ("lagging line") 
   
CURRENT CLOSING PRICE time-shifted backwards (into the past) 26 periods


SENKOU SPAN A ("1st leading line")

(TENKAN SEN + KIJUN SEN)/2 time-shifted forwards (into the future) 26 periods


SENKOU SPAN B ("2nd leading line")

(HIGHEST HIGH + LOWEST LOW)/2 for the past 52 periods time-shifted forwards (into the future) 26 periods



The senkou span A and B deserve special mention here as they, together, form the Ichimoku "kumo" or cloud. We cover the kumo and its myriad functions in more detail in the section "The kumo". 


source form :

http://www.kumotrader.com/ichimoku_wiki/index.php?title=Introduction#Ichimoku_Components








Thursday, August 13, 2009

IHSG dalam 2 genggaman Samurai,,,HAI>>>>>>



IHSG dalam Genggaman 2 samurai jepang ,,,haiiiiii Akan tetap melanjutkan kenaikan ...

Trading With Ichimoku Cloud

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo chart offer powerfull for traders to identify overall market trends and pint point key level of support and resistance that are unlikely to be refeal by other form of TA. Ichimoku has strong in speed and ease with which significant price levels are identified, making easy analysis.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo ( One Glance Equilibrium Chart) or One Glance Cloud Chart == at cloud has Moving Average – based trend, primarily long term, with daily and week input,more stronger than MA,,because time is critical complement price actions, analysize
BOTH TIME and PRICE COMPONENT.













Monday, August 10, 2009

DIVERGENCE NEGATIF PD PGAS & ITMG BISA PANTAU

IHSG MASIH STRONG UP

DIVERGENCE NEGATIF PD PGAS dan ITMG BISA PANTAU







IHSG memasuki siklus baru eliot wave (hati2 mau siklus 2) TP 2510,,,tertinggi 2675



ITM Tunggu turun di 61% FR (23.600) bisa mulai di collect,,asal jgn breakdown



PGAS,,divergence negatif,,,masih bisa nge GAS lah...

ORANG Mulia adalah orang yang menghargai,,mata hatinya....... 








Saturday, August 08, 2009

GAP BUMI YANG PERLU DITUTUP



GAP BUMI YANG PERLU  DITUTUP (2875 - 3100)











Thursday, August 06, 2009

IHSG VS DJI (Budi Anduk VS Arnold Waktu Kecil)

IHSG VS DJI ( Budi Anduk VS Arnold Waktu Kecil)

IHSG (2830 - 1111) VS DOW ( 13895 - 6547), cantik dan gokil budi anduk kemana-mana,,maju terus nusantaraku ....




IHSG versi Budi Anduk




Dow J  versi Arnold waktu kecil ....

Jelaskan Bedanya ....









Monday, August 03, 2009

BUMI, TINS, BLTA

BUMI, TINS dan BLTA



TINS, ingin tenggelam atau mengapung ???



BLTA ingin berlayar ke tengah lautan luas atau kembali ke dermaga kampung halaman ???




BUMI membuat banyak tersenyum apabila berputar pada porosnya....










Thursday, July 09, 2009

IHSG setelah pilpres hari ini doji




IHSG setelah pilpres hari ini doji

IHSG setelah pilpres hari ini doji ; artinya market ragu2 (tunggu konfirmasi 1-2 hari,,minggu depan)

Dalam fase setahun IHSG masih dalam kisaran 38% - 50% Fibonaci retracement (2830 - 1111) dan dalam kisaran 2 bulan ada di 61% - 100% FR ( 1950 - 2111),,pantulan terbesar yang perlu di hadang adalah 2100,,baru kita bisa bilang menuju 2200 atau pun 4000 terserah deh.

Fundamental memang bisa mengalahkan TA, namun TA sangat dipastikan :

1. Merefleksikan Psikologi Market

2. Signal masuk atau keluar (jual dan beli)

Apa yang perlu dilakukan :

1. Tetap bermain cepat dan jangan terlalu lama nahan barang, saran jangan pakai margin dan pasang stop loss.

2. Kok kayaknya berat banget yah tembok 2100 di jebol,,,regional dan minyak down trend channel namun ada signal reversal,,hati2 dengan IHSG

yang bisa digoyang : JSMR , LPKR dah mendidih, MIRA dah direbus 

seperti biasa BUMI nya chart : masih perlu digendong2 nihhh.

maaf saya lupa ngutip dari mana yah,,chart V dan W ...tapi yang pasti dari teman blog trader saham indonesia lainnya ..yang mengingatkan kita pola V atau W bisa sangat mungkin di IHSG chart - mid term saat ini. terima kasih mas,,,saya benar2 lupa,,, tapi dari EW dan FR down trend channel IHSG sangat mungkin terbentuk hati2 aja,,tengok kanan dan kiri kalau nyebrang jalan.